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Thursday, August 15, 2013

Gold Jewelry Is Back as Global Demand Surges to 5-Year High

18k Picasso Gold brooch, Tiffany & Co.

Demand for gold jewelry in the second quarter surged to its highest level in five years due to a sharp drop in the price of the precious metal, the World Gold Council said Thursday.

Gold jewelry demand by volume increased 37 percent to 575.5 tons, according to the WGC’s Gold Demand Trend report for the second quarter of 2013. The demand for gold was so great that it far outweighed a decline in the average gold price as the demand in terms of value rose 20 percent to nearly $26.2 billion, the fourth highest on record.

The price of gold for the second quarter fell by more than $400 an ounce or 12 percent, according to the WGC, the marketing development organization for the gold industry.

“Although jewelry demand is influenced by a wide set of factors, including economic growth, consumer sentiment and disposable income, to name a few, all were eclipsed by the effect of the drop in the gold price,” the WGC said in its report.

The upward trend was “almost universal,” the WGC said, with the most notable year-over-year improvements in India, China, the Middle East and smaller Asian countries. Demand included an increase of higher-carat jewelry. Europe was the only region where jewelry demand failed to rise.

The US reported its second consecutive quarter of growth. Demand remained the healthiest at the higher end of the market, however, the WGC noted that the middle market is beginning to shift from lower- to higher-carat gold. The WGC also said the lower prices provided an opportunity for wholesalers to stock early for the Christmas holiday season.

India and China, again, generated the largest volume increase—almost 120 tons of the 155-ton increase in demand was from these two countries, according to the report. Hong Kong generated the strongest percentage growth in demand (approximately 65%), surging to a record 12.1 tons. In fact, double-digit growth was commonplace throughout the Asian markets, with the exception of Japan, which was unchanged. In Indonesia, demand of 7.8 tons was the strongest second quarter since Q2 2009.

In Turkey, a gold jewelry manufacturing center, demand hit a record high in terms of local currency value, led by consumer bargain hunting (concentrated in 22k market for investment) and trade inventory building. Growth across the Middle Eastern region was almost purely price-related, the WGC said.

The improvement in the US market was not replicated in the western European market, “where negative economic conditions overwhelmed the positive impact of lower prices,” the WGC said. In Italy, another major jewelry manufacturing center, demand fell by nearly 10 percent and in the UK demand dropped by more than 20 percent.

Jewelry demand in Russia “continued to normalize towards pre-crisis levels,” the report states, with demand concentrated on the high and low ends of the market.

The Gold Demand Trends report also tracks demand in gold for investment and technology purposes. In the second quarter, overall gold demand fell by 12 percent to 856.3 tons due to the drastic drop in the price of the precious metal. This translated to a 23 percent drop in value to $39 billion—its lowest level in more than five years.

“Record quarterly investment in gold bars and coins was countered by sizeable outflows from ETFs as western investors reacted to a seemingly more positive outlook for the US economy and an eventual tapering of quantitative easing,” the WGC said.

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  1. This is wow factor for all jewelry Dealers

  2. It's certainly good news for jewelers but the price of gold is still very high.